Comment

Minerals Local Plan Issues and Options consultation

Representation ID: 30228

Received: 10/01/2018

Respondent: AKS Community Action Group

Representation Summary:

Historical data does not, by itself, forecast the future
Comparing quantifiable data on economic activity, production, population growth, housebuilding , road programmes and major projects over the past 10 years, with forecast figures for the same data fields, will allow a quantified forecast to be made for the future. The trend line shows significant reduction in use of aggregates.
MPA report dramatically reduced intensity of aggregates in construction, falling by 37% between 1990 and 2015. These figures need to be built into the NCC forecasts.




NCC needs to create an achievable, improved model for forecasting

Full text:

Historical data does not, by itself, forecast the future
Comparing quantifiable data on economic activity, production, population growth, housebuilding , road programmes and major projects over the past 10 years, with forecast figures for the same data fields, will allow a quantified forecast to be made for the future. The trend line shows significant reduction in use of aggregates.
MPA report dramatically reduced intensity of aggregates in construction, falling by 37% between 1990 and 2015. These figures need to be built into the NCC forecasts.




NCC needs to create an achievable, improved model for forecasting